Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? resolve?

Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+25.5pt89%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.8M

24h Vol

$349.2K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt31.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.5pt20.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.1pt17.5%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.3pt56.8%
• Gemini+2.0pt32.4%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.0pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-12.5pt43%
• 2026-2.2pt12%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$61.7K

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