Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? resolve?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.

How is Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Prize_Problems

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POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.7pt4%
• October 310%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$74.8M

24h Vol

$102.3K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202922.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt13.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.1pt4.5%

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+76.0pt92.5%
• 5.5 to 5.6-12.6pt4.7%
• 5.3 to 5.4-14.4pt0.9%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+2.0pt79%
• No21.1%

Total Vol

$435.6K

24h Vol

$3K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+3.5pt87.9%
• 2-2.0pt12.1%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+4.0pt27.2%
• 5.5 to 5.617.5%
• Under 5.316.5%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

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