Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 95%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJan 3, 24, 7:10 PM UTCFeb 1, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for president before Election Day 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the New York 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNY-14 House election: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vote percent
KalshiRules
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