Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
AIOne-OffTechEntertainment3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.5%
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26
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 24, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.
- Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2026).
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 (This one) @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026? resolve?
- Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.