Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79.3% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028? resolve?

Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+6.1pt54.9%
• Gemini-4.1pt34.8%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt7.4%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.4M

24h Vol

$74.8K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.9pt19.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt18.4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt20%
• 2028-1.0pt16%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.9K

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