Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.9%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingJul 14, 24, 10:59 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which living current/former US president will die first?
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Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves yes if any present or former US President is killed by another person by the start of 2030.
