Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?
InflationOne-OffSociety & CultureLatin America3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 93.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 25, 24, 11:44 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
In 2024, Bolsa Família provides a base payment of R$ 600 per family, with additional benefits of R$ 150 per child up to six years old and R$ 50 per dependent aged 7 to 18.
- For instance, a single parent with one young child receives R$ 750 per month, which is still below the current minimum wage of R$ 1,412.
- This market predicts whether a single parent in Brazil will be able to earn at least one minimum wage per month through Bolsa Família or a similar program by December 31, 2029.
- Key factors include:
- - **Economic conditions**: Inflation, cost of living, and government spending on social programs.
- - **Political developments**: Future policy changes or expansions to Bolsa Família or similar initiatives.