KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 80%
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 20.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 8:45 PM UTCFeb 15, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
KalshiWill any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
KalshiWill California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PolymarketWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.4K
- 24h Vol
- $24.8K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%+0.5pt40.4%
- 3.7%-1.5pt24.8%
- 3.5%+5.0pt21.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- 3.5–3.9%-5.9pt55.7%
- 4.0-4.4%-2.6pt16.5%
- 2.5–2.9%-0.1pt10.3%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.3pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- September Inflation China - Annual
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- CPI core in September
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will inflation get this year?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027?
- Kalshi prices No at 80% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 resolve?
- Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2027.
- How is Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes.