Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028??

Manifold Markets prices A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 2028 at 63.9% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028? resolve?

Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on November 22, 2028.

How is Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the correct combination of these events.

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KALSHI

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

• Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt13.5%
• Jon Ossoff13.5%

+49 more outcomes

Total Vol

$242.8M

24h Vol

$1.3M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-4.6pt76%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.0pt24%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$188.1M

24h Vol

$1M

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen-1.0pt43.9%
• Édouard Philippe-1.0pt17.8%
• David Lisnard-0.2pt11.2%

+42 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance-3.3pt44%
• Marco Rubio+1.1pt14%
• Ron DeSantis+1.1pt4%

+40 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+2.1pt50%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-5.0pt27%
• Naftali Bennett-2.0pt13%

+16 more outcomes

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party90.2%
• Republican Party+1.0pt10.5%

Total Vol

$60.5M

24h Vol

$604.4K

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