Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
ReligionSociety & CultureGeopolitics13yManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 63%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleMay 3, 26, 11:30 AMDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes63%
Related Markets
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
$991.8Yes: 4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
$411Yes: 10.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
$300Yes: 8.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
$0Peru: 84%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
$0Yes: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Vatican III in 2026?
$0Yes: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.News
US strikes in Iran shift Polymarket travel bets, Trump down to 15%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.