Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
One-OffAIRegulation14y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 18, 24, 10:39 PM UTCJan 1, 41, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass a law banning the sale of Human Driven cars to the average consumer by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)?
Manifold MarketsWill a city ban manually driven cars on at least one public road/lane by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
