Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 65% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035? resolve?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.

How is Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market tracks the development of large-scale quantum computers.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.5pt53%
• Gemini-3.1pt34.8%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt7.6%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.4M

24h Vol

$81.3K

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+0.5pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 450T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.7K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.5pt90.9%
• Anthropic-0.5pt8.1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best AI this week
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?