
This market resolved: No (94.6%)
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 10:23 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?
Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?
When will a Google AI system achieve an "Uplift level 1" Machine Learning R&D risk level? [metaculus]
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Will Miles Brundage win his bet with Gary Marcus?
Rules
Resolves YES if the official prize motivation published on NobelPrize.org for the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine (announced 5 October), Physics (6 October), or Chemistry (7 October) contains any of these phrases, case-insensitive:
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-a-2026-science-nobel-motivatioAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+18 more outcomes
+12 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
+15 more outcomes
+9 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes