Who will win the Republican primary for the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Dakota
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionSportsSoccer24dManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastLarry Rhoden (Incumbent) 44%-8.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMay 8, 26, 4:57 AMJul 29, 26, 1:00 AM
Trends
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Larry Rhoden (Incumbent)44%
Related Markets
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
$9.5KYes: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
$0Yes: 74.2%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSWho will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?
$1.9KHelen Zille: 56.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBrazil 2026 Election: Who Leads the Polling Average Two Months Before the Election? (1st Round)
$60Lula: 85.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBrazil Election 2026: Will Eduardo Bolsonaro attend a Brazil World Cup match after being convicted in Brazil?
$10Yes: 25.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next government of the United Kingdom?
$0Reform UK majority: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 South Dakota Republican primary for Governor.
- The winner will be determined by the official results published by the South Dakota Secretary of State at https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/default.aspx.
- If a candidate receives more than 35% of the vote in the primary held on June 2, 2026, they are declared the winner.
- If no candidate reaches this threshold, the top two candidates will proceed to a runoff election on July 28, 2026.
- In the event of a runoff, this market will resolve to the winner of that contest.