Who will win the Democratic Primary for Missouri´s 1st Congressional District?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Wesley Bell (Incumbent) (72%)
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 6:54 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastWesley Bell (Incumbent) 72%+40.4pt
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 8:46 AMAug 5, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
72%
28%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the candidate who officially wins the Democratic primary election for Missouri's 1st Congressional District, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the official certified election results published by the Missouri Secretary of State.
- In the event of a delay in final certification, major news outlets (such as the Associated Press) projecting a winner with near certainty may be used for resolution.
- If a candidate who is not listed as an answer option wins the primary, the market will resolve as N/A (as the option to add new answers is disabled).
- This primary is a rematch of the high-profile 2024 race in which Wesley Bell defeated the then-incumbent the named outcome by a margin of 51.1% to 45.6%.
