Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Luke Bronin (42.9%)

Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, 8:45 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

John Larson 53.6%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+28.6 pts

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Jul 16, 26, 6:36 PMAug 11, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

John Larson

0.0 pts

53.6%

Luke Bronin

0.0 pts

42.9%

Jillian Gilchrest

0.0 pts

2.8%

Other

0.0 pts

0.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Luke Bronin (42.9%)

Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, 8:45 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

John Larson 53.6%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+28.6 pts

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Jul 16, 26, 6:36 PMAug 11, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

John Larson

0.0 pts

53.6%

Luke Bronin

0.0 pts

42.9%

Jillian Gilchrest

0.0 pts

2.8%

Other

0.0 pts

0.6%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district??: Manifold Markets prices John Larson at 54% as of August 12, 2026.
When does Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district? resolve?: Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district? is scheduled to resolve on August 11, 2026.

Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district?

Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 1st congressional district?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Next French Presidential Election

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Brazil Presidential Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Which party will win the U.S. House?