Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJared Huffman (D) 85.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 7:34 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_2
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
Open markets
Politics
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- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $985.7K
- 24h Vol
- $777.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.2M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the CA-2 House Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Jared Huffman (D) at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win the CA-2 House Election? resolve?
- Who will win the CA-2 House Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Who will win the CA-2 House Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_2