Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastZohran Mamdani 71.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jun 25, 25, 1:42 AM UTCNov 6, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2029 New York City mayoral election.
- If no election is held in 2029, resolves "the named outcome."
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election??
- Manifold Markets prices Zohran Mamdani at 72% as of September 11, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? resolve?
- Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? is scheduled to resolve on November 6, 2029.
- How is Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2029 New York City mayoral election.