Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party Nominee 91.3%+5.3ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.3 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 21, 26, 5:03 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the Alaskan Governors election in November?
Manifold MarketsWill Wes Moore win the 2026 Maryland Governors election by 34.000% or more?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Michigan_gubernatorial_election
- Resolves yes to the winner
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who Will the 2026 Michigan Governors election??
- Manifold Markets prices Democratic Party Nominee at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who Will the 2026 Michigan Governors election? resolve?
- Who Will the 2026 Michigan Governors election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Who Will the 2026 Michigan Governors election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Michigan_gubernatorial_election