Who will die first, Joe Biden or Donald Trump?

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$35.9M

24h Vol

$2.9M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$40M

24h Vol

$2.4M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+3.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-3.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.7pt90.7%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.5%

Total Vol

$68.7M

24h Vol

$1.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+1.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22+0.9pt99%
• October 24+9.8pt98%
• October 28+3.5pt86%

+17 more outcomes