Who will be the successor of Jens Spahn as Chairman of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group?
One-OffEuropeManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Thorsten Frei (48%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 5:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastThorsten Frei 48%+52.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 days ago
StaleJul 18, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 5:12 PM
Trends
48%
26%
26%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally elected or appointed as the next permanent, non-interim Chairman (Fraktionsvorsitzender) of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) to succeed Jens Spahn.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official press releases from the CDU/CSU parliamentary group website or confirmed reports by major German news outlets (such as Spiegel, dpa, Bild, or Tagesschau).
- On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned from his position as Chairman of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the Bundestag.
- His resignation came after intense internal party pressure and accusations of hypocrisy regarding his and his husband's decision to use a surrogate mother in the United States, which directly clashed with the CDU/CSU’s strict, official opposition to commercial surrogacy.
- This description was generated by AI but shortened by the creator of this market.
