Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
Politics
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mark Carney (99.1%)
Resolved: May 4, 2025, 12:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast
Mark Carney 99.1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
1,131
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 118 days ago
StaleOct 1, 23, 2:23 AMMay 4, 25, 12:53 PM
Probability Timeline
Pierre Poilievre0.7%
Justin Trudeau0%
Jagmeet Singh0%
Yves-François Blanchet0.1%
Other0%
Mark Carney99.1%
99.1%
0.7%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
