Which words will Trump say at the 2026 White House Thanksgiving turkey pardon?
41.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics18d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRigged 91%+41.0ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+41.0 pts
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 3, 26, 1:01 PM UTCNov 23, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
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Which of these words will President Trump say out loud at the 2026 National Thanksgiving Turkey pardoning ceremony at the White House? Thanksgiving is Thursday, November 26, 2026; the ceremony is usually held on the Tuesday before (Trump held it on a Tuesday in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2025).
- Each answer resolves YES or NO on its own.
- How it resolves
- Source: the full transcript of the ceremony from The American Presidency Project (presidency.ucsb.edu), the White House, Roll Call Factba.se or Rev, checked against the White House video when anything is unclear.
- Only words spoken by Donald Trump at the ceremony count, including any questions he takes from reporters at the same event.
- Words spoken by the First Lady, the National Turkey Federation chair or anyone else do not count.