Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.
US PoliticsOne-OffEntertainment2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJimmy Kimmel 74.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 19, 25, 8:38 AM UTCJan 30, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Late-night shows are often described as the canaries in the coal mine of democracy.
- Because they thrive on satire, political critique, and cultural irreverence, they are among the first media formats to face pressure when politics, advertisers, or networks tighten the reins.
- When censorship, corporate caution, or populist backlash grows, it often manifests first in late-night.
- Hosts get suspended, contracts are cut short, or formats quietly disappear.
- What happens on those stages after midnight tells us a great deal about the health of public discourse.
- This prediction market exists because the U.S. late-night landscape in 2025 has entered a period of upheaval.
