Current community forecast
Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) 82.1%+8.5ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+8.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Feb 11, 24, 9:38 AMSep 19, 26, 9:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.
- This market closes one week after the election, and very likely before a new government has formed.
- This market could close sooner if a successful vote of no confidence occurs then this is closed a week after the vote.
- In the unlikely event no new government is formed after a vote of no confidence or election and a new election is called then this market will open again (if that's possible?) and close again one week after the new election.
- This market will resolve Yes for the one party that successfully leads the formation of a new Swedish government, and No on all others (including parties that become part of a coalition government).
- To be more precise it resolves Yes for the party that a newly elected Prime Minister is member of.
