Current community forecast
Conservative Party of British Columbia 43.7%-8.1ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+18.7 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 11:26 AM UTCSep 27, 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market resolves to the political party of the winning candidate in the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, triggered by Reann Gasper's resignation as an MLA to allow Kerry-Lynne Findlay to run for a seat in the legislature.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results published by Elections BC at https://elections.bc.ca/ a consensus of credible media sources.
- If there is a need for a recount, this market will not resolve until the results of the recount are official.
- As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.
Open markets
Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election??
- Manifold Markets prices Conservative Party of British Columbia at 44% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election? resolve?
- Which party will win the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election? is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the political party of the winning candidate in the Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, triggered by Reann Gasper's resignation as an MLA to allow Kerry-Lynne Findlay to run for a seat in the legislature.