Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 95%
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 26, 2:59 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.4pt25.3%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.7%
- Marco Rubio+3.5pt13.7%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $705.2M
- 24h Vol
- $703.6K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt28.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.1%
+38 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $216.3M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.6pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva48.5%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance22.9%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt12.5%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt11.5%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $65.9M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-1.8pt12%
+48 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 95% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.