Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 93%
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 26, 3:03 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt82.2%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.8pt1%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.2M
- 24h Vol
- $3.5M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe25.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep57.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.4%
- Republicans sweep11.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $15.7M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt56.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance+1.0pt23%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio11%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $67.6M
- 24h Vol
- $559.8K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 93% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.