Which party will win Maine's 2nd District (ME-2) in the 2028 presidential election?
2.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican Party 81.9%-2.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 26, 12:45 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District?
PredictItMaine's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiMaine's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiWill Paul LePage win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Matt Dunlap win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win Nebraska's 2nd District (NE-2) in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket that gets the electoral vote of Maine's 2nd congressional district (ME-2) in the November 7, 2028 election.
- N/A if Maine no longer awards an electoral vote by district, or has no 2nd district.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the electors Maine certifies, or earlier once the AP has called the district and nothing could change it.
- Faithless electors don't change it.
