Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century??

Manifold Markets prices Djibouti at 30% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century? resolve?

Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.

How is Which African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The rocket does not need to be African in origin, and the launch can be in collaboration with a non-African space agency or company.

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POLYMARKET

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+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.4M

24h Vol

$83.7K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
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• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt4.8%

POLYMARKET

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• June 30-11.5pt38%
• December 31-5.0pt5%

Total Vol

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24h Vol

$5.5K

POLYMARKET

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• 5.7 to 5.8+85.0pt95.2%
• 5.3 to 5.4-14.6pt1%
• 5.5 to 5.6-17.0pt1%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

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KALSHI

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

• Before 2028-3.0pt68%
• Before Jul 1, 2027-4.0pt49%
• Before 2027+7.0pt

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