Current community forecast
Other 75%+23.2ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+23.3 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 11:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kevin Kiley win the Us House race in California 6th in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the U.S. House Race in California's 40th District?
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Kalshi2026 House Race: Texas District 23
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 House Race: Minnesota District 5
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 House Race: New York District 17
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Resolves yes to the 2026 US House election with the smallest margin of victory, by raw vote total.
- If the smallest margin in a house race is 500 votes, than the race it is in resolves yes.
- More races may be added if they are considered very close.
- If a market not listed has the smallest vote margin, then other will resolve.
- For ranked choice elections, use the deciding round margin of victory.
- For elections that go to runoff, use margin in the general election on November 3.
