KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 7:07 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
FL-14 0%Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
5.4 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
If FL-14 has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- Every U.S. House general election held November 3, 2026 is compared, not only the districts listed here, so if the smallest margin is in an unlisted district every market in this event resolves NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Closest House race in 2026??
- Kalshi prices FL-14 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Closest House race in 2026? resolve?
- Closest House race in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027.
- How is Closest House race in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If FL-14 has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.