When will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026?
InflationGeopolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNovember 33.8%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 25, 5:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiWill the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsEuro area’s inflation rate in 2026
FutuurUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil inflation rate in September
KalshiWill Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES for any month in 2026 where Brazil's month-on-month (MoM) inflation rate exceeds Argentina's, based on official data from:
- Argentina: https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
- Brazil: https://tradingeconomics.com/brazil/inflation-rate-mom
- The market will resolve to NO if Brazil's MoM inflation rate remains below Argentina's for all months in 2025.
- Resolution will occur as soon as official data becomes available confirming that Brazil's inflation rate has exceeded Argentina's for any month, or after all 2026 data has been published showing no such occurrence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $148.5M
- 24h Vol
- $7.6M
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
- 24h Vol
- $74.5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.5K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+10.3pt28.9%
- 4.7-5.0%+11.8pt25%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.1%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.6K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
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- CPI in September
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- PPI YoY - September 2026
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices November at 34% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does When will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026? resolve?
- When will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is When will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria