FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
3.0% or more 76.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
3.0% or more 76.2%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$13.6K
Medium liquidityTraders
41
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?
KalshiWill UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in September?
KalshiSouth Africa inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiWill Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September?
KalshiWill the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat.
- Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.
- If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg.
- The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source.
- Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
