Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2026 Q4 80.4%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
176
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.9 pts
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jul 29, 25, 5:37 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 5:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Will resolve to the first trading day on a stock exchange.
- Any share class counts.