Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastEarthquake over 8.0 magnitude 100%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
77
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 26, 5:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'the named outcome', the declaration is assumed to be by the USA.
