Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTwitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone 100%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
73
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.2 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 26, 5:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
📼What shows, series and podcasts will end in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Manifold Markets🗺️Which countries will Trump visit in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsHealthcare AI adoption in September
KalshiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer 'the named outcome', the declaration is assumed to be by the USA.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets prices Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone at 100% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does 📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] resolve?
- 📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is 📆What will happen in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.