US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS]

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS]?

Manifold Markets prices US and Iran resume attacks on each other (Iran's proxys - hezbollah, etc. - count) at 81.3% as of October 28, 2026.

When does US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS] resolve?

US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When any of these happen, the options will be resolved.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+1.2pt100%
• October 31+1.6pt97%
• November 294%

+19 more outcomes

Total Vol

$29M

24h Vol

$882.8K

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one-8.0pt52.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+2.0pt63%
• December 31+5.5pt41%
• November 30+8.5pt29%

+22 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

• No+0.2pt100%
• Yes-0.2pt0%

Total Vol

$4M

24h Vol

$410.6K

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27+0.1pt100%
• October 2999%
• October 3098%

+39 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Iran leadership change by which date?

• June 30, 2027+2.5pt28%
• December 3114%
• November 30-1.0pt8%

+11 more outcomes

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
• US-Iran nuclear deal?
• When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?