Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastearthquake 7.0+ magnitude 100%Leader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 1, 26, 4:19 AM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
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