What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved??

Manifold Markets prices AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes at 84% as of October 19, 2026.

When does What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved? resolve?

What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved? is scheduled to resolve on October 17, 2027.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-7.2pt70.3%
• Anthropic+8.5pt29.7%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.9M

24h Vol

$183.2K

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.4%+92.0pt99.5%
• Above 18.1%+37.0pt99.5%
• Above 17.1%99.5%

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 24.1%+35.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.9%+14.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.2%99.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.1pt47.3%
• Gemini+1.6pt37.7%
• ChatGPT+0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+3.0pt75%
• December 15,+7.0pt71%
• November 30,+10.0pt66%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini99.5%
• Claude0.5%
• ChatGPT0.5%

• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
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• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?