Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:09 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 77.3%
Forecasters
183
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 26, 25, 4:48 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
RSG = Random Seed Glitchless
- Must be Java version CAN:
- Can use scaffolds or similar.
- Cannot slow down game time or stuff like that.
- Can't get human help.
- Can't reverse engineer (by running scripts) what seed it is in from world features to know where structures will be before seeing them (eg blind travelling to the stronghold)
