Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 67.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 4:25 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes33%
Volume trend
$200Jul 83d of dataJul 11
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