Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.7%)
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 8:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes98.7%
No1.2999999999999972%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Gemini 4 Pro is released before GTA 6.
- Gemini 4 Pro - release
- Must be a successor of 3 Pro, a different naming count.
- 3.X Pro, and X.X Pro Deep think models doesn't count.
- Must be available for the public in at least 1 country on a free or paid plan.
- Invite / waitlist / closed beta doesn't count.