Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
Russia / UkraineCommoditiesYearlyMacro & EconomyChina3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.8%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleNov 26, 25, 5:46 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Resolution notes
- Need two numbers for year 2030:
- Total global vanadium consumption (all uses, contained V).
- Vanadium consumption in VRFBs (contained V).
- Use high‑quality industry analyses (e.g., SFA, Wood Mackenzie, Argus, CRU).
- If at least two independent reputable sources estimate that VRFBs represent ≥ 20% of total vanadium consumption in 2030, resolve YES; if they consistently place it below 20%, resolve NO.
