PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No change 35.2%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$60.2
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 10:16 PM UTCDec 18, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Open markets
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-2.0pt39.8%
- 340–354+3.5pt27.2%
- 310–324-0.2pt17.5%
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.3pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.3pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Dopropillia86%
- Druzkhivka49%
- Kramatorsk21%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No+3.0pt81.2%
- Yes-3.0pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $513.2K
- 24h Vol
- $40.1K
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Bank of Russia decision in October?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Russia decision in December??
- Polymarket prices No change at 35% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Bank of Russia decision in December? resolve?
- Bank of Russia decision in December? is scheduled to resolve on December 18, 2026.
- How is Bank of Russia decision in December? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.