Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?
CommoditiesOne-OffRussia / UkraineChina1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 57.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 26, 25, 5:36 AM UTCMar 29, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution notes
- Resolve using 2027 global production of contained vanadium, not V₂O₅.
- Primary source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries/Yearbook (Vanadium) for 2027.
- If USGS is unavailable or clearly out of line, take the median of at least two other reputable industry sources (e.g., SFA (Oxford), Wood Mackenzie, Argus, Project Blue).
- If the best-available figure is ≥ 140,000 t V, resolve YES; otherwise NO.
- If no 2027 number is available by 31 Dec 2029, resolve N/A.
