Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 91.2%
No 91.2%Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 23, 9:51 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will at least 3 of the 10 Technologies that Won't Exist in 5 Years, exist in 5 years?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.