USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026?

Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of October 28, 2026.

When does USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026 resolve?

USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Any of these things happen in the time interval and region in the title:

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+0.5pt95%
• 25 bps increase-0.6pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$92M

24h Vol

$14.9M

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+3.0pt79.2%
• No-3.0pt20.8%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$26.5K

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%44.5%

KALSHI

PPI YoY in October

• Above 7.1%+88.0pt50%
• Above 6.1%+6.0pt49%
• Above 6.0%50%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%-1.0pt89.5%

KALSHI

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

• Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11.5%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%12.5%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%-2.0pt9%

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