USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030?

Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of November 2, 2026.

When does USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030 resolve?

USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Any of these things happen in the time interval and region in the title, i.e. the end of 2029

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-1.5pt69.3%
• No+1.5pt30.7%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$20K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+2.5pt71.6%
• 1 (25 bps)27.4%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.2pt1%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%-8.0pt81.5%
• Above 0.2%45.5%

POLYMARKET

PPI YoY - October 2026

• 6.8%+-4.0pt38%
• 6.5%15%
• 6.7%-8.0pt12%

+7 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Core CPI MoM - October 2026

• 0.2%+3.5pt39.5%
• 0.3%+0.5pt33%
• 0.1%11%

+4 more outcomes

• Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
• October Inflation China - Annual
• CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
• CPI in October
• What will gas hit by end of November?
• CPI in November
• October Inflation US - Monthly
• Gas prices on November 2?
• Core CPI YoY - October 2026