Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.5%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 8:49 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026?
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KalshiRules
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- [link preview]regular, current avg on september 28 2026.
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.3pt0%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $74.2M
- 24h Vol
- $434.8K
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+1.3pt15%
- Save the Children+2.0pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt62%
- October 31-5.0pt32%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25-4.1pt93%
- September 30-4.0pt87%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $221.2K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86.1%
- Yes-1.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $68.6M
- 24h Vol
- $191.1K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-1.3pt52.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt30.3%
- Naftali Bennett+2.0pt12.1%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 97.5% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026? resolve?
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://gasprices.aaa.com/