Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.2%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 3:16 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 14 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on any day in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsNatural gas price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiNatural gas price on September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiWill gas hit __ by end of September?
PolymarketRules
https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- [link preview]regular, current avg on any day in September 2026
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt23%
- October 31-5.0pt16%
- September 30-4.3pt6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.6M
- 24h Vol
- $611.3K
KALSHIAl-Khaleej vs Al Nassr
- Al-Khaleej+28.0pt35.3%
- Al Nassr-44.0pt34.3%
- Tie+18.0pt30.4%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+6.5pt57%
- September 30+8.5pt39%
- September 21+15.5pt37%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.9pt68%
- October 31+4.0pt41%
- September 30+3.0pt24%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $65.8M
- 24h Vol
- $201.8K
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt90%
- September 18+7.5pt89%
- September 11+10.5pt86%
+2 more outcomes
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Al-Khaleej vs Al Nassr: Total Goals
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 73% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026? resolve?
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://gasprices.aaa.com/