Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.5%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 25, 7:18 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.
- Utah County prosecutors have announced they will seek the death penalty.
- This market resolves YES if Tyler Robinson receives a death sentence by December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he receives any other sentence (life imprisonment, lesser charges, etc.) or if the case is still pending by that date.
- Resolution Criteria: Based on official court records and sentencing documents from Utah's 4th District Court.
- Sources include Utah Courts case records and major news outlets covering the sentencing.
Open markets
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- Yes-17.0pt35%
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- 24h Vol
- $15.4K
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- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 20265%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 resolve?
- Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.